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The Law of Averages & Large Numbers in Trading & Markets
Averages are a fundamental statistical concept that is widely used in everyday life, and practically everyone has heard of them at some point. Averages can provide valuable insights into the world around us with their predictive power, but many people tend to underestimate their ability and overlook their significance in understanding complex systems.The Law of Read more
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The Copernican Lifetime Equation and Price Trends
The basis of the Copernican Principle is that the location in the universe at which we currently exist is not unique. This is the concept Copernicus used to arrive at his discovery that the Earth is not the center of the Universe, as was previously believed. Today, I’d like to explore its potential for use Read more
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Self-fulfilling prophecies in markets
Today I want to explore the implications of self-fulfilling prophecies in markets, trading, and investing to see what we can learn, and how we can potentially apply it when designing algorithms or other trading strategies. There’s a concept in psychology known as a self-fulfilling prophecy. Here’s the definition from Wikipedia: A self-fulfilling prophecy is a Read more
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An inverse fundamental investing methodology
Today, I want to introduce you to a new way of thinking about selecting rule-based investments. Nearly every long term fundamental/ quantamental strategy begins as a portfolio containing zero stocks, and your algorithm’s job (or yours) is to buy stocks before they appreciate in value. Even momentum strategies focus on adding stocks to a portfolio Read more
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The Fluidity of Financial Markets
Have you ever watched flowing water follow a specific route it seems to “create” on its own, as if it “knows” the path of least resistance? Or an ecosystem, growing with all its species and subspecies and various systems all working together to fill niches where other organisms don’t yet exist? Where does this phenomenon Read more
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My first post…
Welcome! In this post I want to explain why I started this page, why I believe I have the qualifications to discuss these topics, what readers can get out of this, and, more generally, to give you an understanding of where my perspectives and ideas come from so that you, too can use these concepts Read more
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